27th SEPTEMBER 2015 CATALAN PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS AND THE INDEPENDENCE PROJECT

Elections and Durable Governments in Parliamentary Democracies

This paper provides a theory of a parliamentary government system with proportional representation elections and policy-motivated parties and voters. In a symmetric, spatial model governments are majoritarian, they and their policies are durable, and voters elect minority parliaments in every period. A continuum of (Markov) political equilibria exist with policies that represent concessions to ...

Forecasting Parliamentary Outcomes in Multiparty Elections : Hungary

Forecasting seat outcomes in legislative elections in countries with stable, two-party systems is su ciently challenging as to have proven elusive for much of democratic experience. Forecasting an election in a relatively new democracy with a uid multi-party system, therefore, would seem on its face to be a hopeless objective. In this paper I attempt to demonstrate that election forecasting in ...

Coalition Termination and the Strategic Timing of Parliamentary Elections

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Ukraine's 2006 parliamentary elections: first conclusions

Judicial Independence and Retention Elections *

Judges face retention elections in over a third of U.S. state courts of last resort and numerous lower courts. According to conventional wisdom, these elections engender judicial independence and decrease democratic accountability. We argue that in the context of modern judicial campaigns, retention elections create pressure for judges to cater to public opinion on “hot-button” issues that are ...